Wednesday, April 29, 2009

IPL 2009 Semi-finalists

There are 8 teams fighting for coveted 4 semifinal spots. Statistically, at the beginning of tournament, every team had odds of 1 in 2 for reaching semi finals. If IPL was about statistics, there would have been no craze. Every IPL fan has his own wish list while many cricket experts are predicting their last 4 teams.
In one of my earlier posts Controversies and Team Standings I analysed why it would be difficult for Royal Challengers and Knight Riders to go to semis. KKR are already out of contention - they have a thin chance; albeit theoretical. RC have won 2 out 3 after Pietersen left for national duty. RC has a good chance as they are placed better than MI and KXIP in points table but I still think they don't have momentum to go to semis.
Let us talk about the chances of other teams.
MI, one of the pre-tournament favourites, is languishing at 7th place. They have lost few close matches and have performed only in patches. They still have a chance but I think they will fall short.
DD and CSK, also pre-tournament favourites, have the best chance to go through the semis and I think they will. DD have taken a wrong step throughout the tournament while CSK are getting better with each game.
There will be fight for other 2 semi final spots between KXIP, RR and DC. I think KXIP and RR will take these 2 spots. They have the momentum on their side and they have turned some lost causes in their favour. Even though DC started strong and they still are one of the better placed team, I feel they would have a tough time.
Let's wait for final 4 while we enjoy the tournament.

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